The 'tokenmaxxing' trend is probably the more inane ideas emanating out of this whole AI wave. It goes in the opposite direction of efficiency and productivity maximization. Yet, it has wide acceptance.
I feel where it all loses its legs is the fact that most coding work is intermediate complexity. You won't need super intelligence to code/maintain your CRM or what have you. Specialized firms may pay the premiums Anthropic/OpenAI expect, the vast majority of enterprises won't need to, for the vast majority of their use-cases.
On prem GPU capacity - or decent enough devices for core engineering team - lends itself pretty nicely to local LLMs too. And you own the whole stack this way. Why pay premiums to Anthropic and fuel its trillion dollar valuation?
I think it's a huge bubble about to pop. I get that enterprises are like elephants, slow to move, locked into agreements.
But I think free is going to be infinitely better than paying Anthropic more money than you used to spend on your human payroll. The big pop is coming.
> For now, though, the focus appears to remain on encouraging companies themselves to hold off on layoffs.
I wonder how long that sustains. Is this going to create negative externalities that eventually cause the system to collectively bottom out? Or is this the more utilitarian alternative to UBI? You can debate both sides at this point.
As things stand, I think we should be pushing companies to focus more on using AI to increase revenue, rather than just cutting costs. I also hope that AI won’t end up replacing a significant portion of the workforce in the future.
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