> HN is so weirdly optimistic that SWE jobs will not decline terribly in the age of LLMs.
I mean, this is about the fourth "this will massively reduce the need for programmers" thing in the last 20 years. And it increasing feels like the previous ones; lots of hype, lots of marketing, very little empirical evidence that it's doing anything much.
For CRUD stuff _in particular_, people have been promising CRUD without icky programmers any day now for longer than most users of this website have been alive.
Yes. "No code" was the hot topic last decade. I think LLMs will make individual programmers more productive, but demand for software is very elastic. Medium-term (next 10-20 years), I think we'll just be producing more software.
I mean, this is about the fourth "this will massively reduce the need for programmers" thing in the last 20 years. And it increasing feels like the previous ones; lots of hype, lots of marketing, very little empirical evidence that it's doing anything much.
For CRUD stuff _in particular_, people have been promising CRUD without icky programmers any day now for longer than most users of this website have been alive.